{
  "format": "commons-startup-trial-inputs",
  "version": 1,
  "studyId": "viability-2026-09-20",
  "baselineConfiguration": {
    "version": 1,
    "seed": "ccsl-startup-capital-v1",
    "params": {
      "capitalEnabled": 1,
      "capitalUsd": 6000000,
      "horizon": 60,
      "breakEvenTarget": 36,
      "reserveMonths": 3,
      "contingencyBps": 1500,
      "startingMembers": 0,
      "targetMembers": 150000,
      "rampMonths": 24,
      "rampExponent": 1.6,
      "launchDelay": 0,
      "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
      "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
      "feeUsd": 3,
      "covenantBps": 2000,
      "retailUsd": 20,
      "providerVariableUsd": 14,
      "providerSetupUsd": 200,
      "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
      "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
      "staffStart": 3,
      "staffTarget": 10,
      "staffRampMonths": 24,
      "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
      "hiringUsd": 5000,
      "setupUsd": 100000,
      "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
      "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
      "acquisitionUsd": 15,
      "onboardingUsd": 5,
      "supportUsd": 0.25,
      "travelStartUsd": 1000,
      "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
      "eventUsd": 15000,
      "eventEveryMonths": 3,
      "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
      "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
      "legalStartUsd": 2000,
      "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
      "adminStartUsd": 1000,
      "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
      "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
      "costUncertainty": 0.15,
      "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
      "delayUncertainty": 6
    }
  },
  "profiles": [
    {
      "id": "member-value-first",
      "name": "Member value first",
      "patch": {
        "feeUsd": 2.5,
        "capitalUsd": 6500000
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "balanced",
      "name": "Balanced reference",
      "patch": {}
    },
    {
      "id": "higher-fee",
      "name": "Higher fee",
      "patch": {
        "feeUsd": 3.25
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "slower-ramp",
      "name": "Slower member ramp",
      "patch": {
        "rampMonths": 36,
        "breakEvenTarget": 42
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "lower-scale",
      "name": "Lower member scale",
      "patch": {
        "targetMembers": 100000
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "higher-acquisition-cost",
      "name": "Higher acquisition cost",
      "patch": {
        "acquisitionUsd": 30
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "lower-acquisition-cost",
      "name": "Lower acquisition cost",
      "patch": {
        "acquisitionUsd": 8
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "higher-staff-cost",
      "name": "Higher staffing cost",
      "patch": {
        "annualStaffUsd": 150000
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "lower-staff-cost",
      "name": "Lower staffing cost",
      "patch": {
        "annualStaffUsd": 100000
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "faster-ramp",
      "name": "Faster member ramp",
      "patch": {
        "rampMonths": 18,
        "breakEvenTarget": 30
      }
    }
  ],
  "phases": [
    {
      "id": "design",
      "seed": "startup-design-v1",
      "replications": 1000,
      "profiles": [
        {
          "id": "member-value-first",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6500000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 2.5,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "balanced",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "higher-fee",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3.25,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "slower-ramp",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 42,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 36,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "lower-scale",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 100000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "higher-acquisition-cost",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 30,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "lower-acquisition-cost",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 8,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "higher-staff-cost",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 150000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "lower-staff-cost",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 100000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "faster-ramp",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-design-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 30,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 18,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "holdout",
      "seed": "startup-holdout-v1",
      "replications": 2000,
      "profiles": [
        {
          "id": "member-value-first",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-holdout-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6500000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 2.5,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "balanced",
          "configuration": {
            "version": 1,
            "seed": "startup-holdout-v1",
            "params": {
              "capitalEnabled": 1,
              "capitalUsd": 6000000,
              "horizon": 60,
              "breakEvenTarget": 36,
              "reserveMonths": 3,
              "contingencyBps": 1500,
              "startingMembers": 0,
              "targetMembers": 150000,
              "rampMonths": 24,
              "rampExponent": 1.6,
              "launchDelay": 0,
              "minimumLaunchMembers": 600,
              "monthlyChurn": 0.015,
              "feeUsd": 3,
              "covenantBps": 2000,
              "retailUsd": 20,
              "providerVariableUsd": 14,
              "providerSetupUsd": 200,
              "providerMarkupBps": 1500,
              "minimumSavingUsd": 0.5,
              "staffStart": 3,
              "staffTarget": 10,
              "staffRampMonths": 24,
              "annualStaffUsd": 120000,
              "hiringUsd": 5000,
              "setupUsd": 100000,
              "marketingStartUsd": 3000,
              "marketingTargetUsd": 15000,
              "acquisitionUsd": 15,
              "onboardingUsd": 5,
              "supportUsd": 0.25,
              "travelStartUsd": 1000,
              "travelTargetUsd": 5000,
              "eventUsd": 15000,
              "eventEveryMonths": 3,
              "technologyStartUsd": 2000,
              "technologyTargetUsd": 10000,
              "legalStartUsd": 2000,
              "legalTargetUsd": 6000,
              "adminStartUsd": 1000,
              "adminTargetUsd": 5000,
              "growthUncertainty": 0.25,
              "costUncertainty": 0.15,
              "churnUncertainty": 0.3,
              "delayUncertainty": 6
            }
          }
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}
