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Model release timeline

Research cut-off date: 2026-07-22. Status: Phase 2, not yet written. This file states the scope of the work, the arguments it owns, and the research required to complete it. It contains no findings, because none have been sourced. See the changelog for phase status.

Scope

A chronology of model releases across the profiled families, generated from data/models.csv. The timeline is analytical rather than decorative: a release date bounds the training cut-off, determines which benchmarks could have existed at training time, and is the axis along which any contamination argument is made.

Research checklist

  • Populate release dates in data/models.csv from official announcements, with a source per model.
  • Record 'Not publicly disclosed' where no official release date exists rather than inferring one from a technical report date.
  • Record training data cut-off dates separately where disclosed, since they are distinct from release dates and are what a contamination argument requires.
  • Regenerate with scripts/build_release_timeline.py and confirm the excluded-model count is reported.

Completion criteria

This file is complete when every checklist item above is closed and the quality-control checklist in the research methodology passes.

Generated output

Generated by scripts/build_release_timeline.py. Do not edit the region by hand.

No dated model releases. Populate data/models.csv with release dates and rerun scripts/build_release_timeline.py.

Generated output

Generated by scripts/build_release_timeline.py. Do not edit the region by hand.

Release date Quarter Provider Model Status Open weights Evidence grade Source Source date
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Alibaba Qwen 3.6 family generally_available yes B qwen2026realworld 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Alibaba Qwen 3.7 family generally_available yes B qwen2026agent 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Anthropic Claude Fable 5 generally_available no B anthropic2026overview 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8 generally_available no B anthropic2026overview 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Anthropic Claude Sonnet 5 generally_available no B anthropic2026sonnet 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable DeepSeek DeepSeek V4 Flash generally_available yes B deepseek2026preview 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable DeepSeek DeepSeek V4 Pro generally_available yes B deepseek2026preview 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Google Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite generally_available no B deepmind2026flashlite 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Google Gemini 3.1 Pro generally_available no C deepmind2026geminipro 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Meta Llama 4 Maverick generally_available yes B meta2025llama 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Meta Llama 4 Scout generally_available yes B meta2025llama 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Meta Meta Muse Spark 1.1 preview no B meta2026muse 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Mistral Mistral Medium 3.5 generally_available yes B mistral2026medium 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable Mistral Mistral Small 4 generally_available yes B mistral2026small 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable OpenAI GPT-5.6 Luna generally_available no B openai2026models 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol generally_available no B openai2026models 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable OpenAI GPT-5.6 Terra generally_available no B openai2026models 2026-07-22
Not publicly disclosed Not applicable xAI Grok 4.5 generally_available no B xai2026docs 2026-07-22